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Chris Olave

Chris Olave Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Chicago Bears vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Chris Olave Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-147/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -149 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Saints are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to see 140.1 plays on offense run: the most on the slate this week.
  • The New Orleans Saints have run the 4th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 61.2 plays per game.
  • In this week's game, Chris Olave is forecasted by the projections to slot into the 97th percentile among wide receivers with 10.1 targets.
  • Chris Olave's 32.7% Target Rate this season reflects an impressive gain in his passing game volume over last season's 19.2% mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Saints to pass on 53.6% of their downs: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • The weather report calls for 21-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to rely on the passing game too much against the Chicago Bears, totaling the 2nd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 28.2 per game) this year.
  • Chris Olave's 63.1% Adjusted Completion Rate this year illustrates a noteworthy drop-off in his receiving skills over last year's 73.7% figure.
  • The Chicago Bears pass defense has conceded the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (63.8%) versus wide receivers since the start of last season (63.8%).

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