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Chris Olave

Chris Olave Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

New Orleans Saints vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Chris Olave Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-120/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread indicates a passing game script for the Saints, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to see 136.6 plays on offense run: the highest number on the slate this week.
  • The Saints have run the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 63.6 plays per game.
  • The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.
  • The projections expect Chris Olave to garner 10.1 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile when it comes to WRs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the New Orleans Saints to be the 7th-least pass-focused team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 58.5% pass rate.
  • Chris Olave's receiving reliability have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 73.7% to 62.9%.

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