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Chris Olave

Chris Olave Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

New Orleans Saints vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Chris Olave Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -100 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the predictive model to see 139.7 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week.
  • The highest number of plays in the league have been run by the New Orleans Saints this year (a whopping 64.8 per game on average).
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 42.8 pass attempts per game against the Giants defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.
  • The leading projections forecast Chris Olave to garner 9.5 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 96th percentile among WRs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Saints to pass on 55.3% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • Chris Olave's possession skills have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 73.7% to 62.0%.
  • This year, the formidable Giants defense has allowed a meager 61.7% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the 10th-lowest rate in the NFL.
  • The New York Giants linebackers profile as the 2nd-best collection of LBs in the league this year with their pass rush.

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