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Chris Olave

Chris Olave Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

New Orleans Saints vs San Francisco 49ers

Chris Olave Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-160/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -160.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Saints offense to skew 1.1% more towards the passing game than it did last year (adjusted for context) with head coach Kellen Moore now calling the plays.

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Saints are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a focus on passing than their normal approach.

The predictive model expects this game to see the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.1 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

In this week's contest, Chris Olave is projected by our trusted projection set to rank in the 89th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 8.6 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to be the 8th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 58.1% pass rate.

Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the San Francisco 49ers, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 29.4 per game) since the start of last season.

In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the importance it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the New Orleans Saints profiles as the worst in the league since the start of last season.

Chris Olave's 48.8% Adjusted Catch Rate this season signifies a substantial decline in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 73.7% figure.

Since the start of last season, the imposing 49ers defense has allowed a meager 60.4% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the 3rd-smallest rate in the league.

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