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Chris Olave

Chris Olave Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

New Orleans Saints vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Chris Olave Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to see 130.7 plays on offense run: the 5th-highest number among all games this week.
  • The 10th-most plays in football have been called by the New Orleans Saints this year (a colossal 59.1 per game on average).
  • The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.
  • The projections expect Chris Olave to accumulate 9.1 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 96th percentile among WRs.
  • Chris Olave's 68.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 45.5.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Right now, the 3rd-least pass-oriented team in the league (55.8% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the New Orleans Saints.
  • Chris Olave's 65.3% Adjusted Catch% this year shows a material regression in his pass-catching skills over last year's 73.7% rate.
  • The Panthers pass defense has allowed the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (62.3%) to WRs this year (62.3%).
  • The Carolina cornerbacks rank as the 8th-best collection of CBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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