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Chris Olave Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Miami Dolphins vs New Orleans Saints

Chris Olave Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-149/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -139 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -149.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is indicated by the Saints being a -5.5-point underdog in this week's contest.

The predictive model expects the Saints offense to be the fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 25.62 seconds per snap.

The predictive model expects Chris Olave to garner 9.9 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 97th percentile among WRs.

Chris Olave's 29.0% Target Rate this season reflects a significant improvement in his passing game usage over last season's 19.2% mark.

Chris Olave's receiving performance has gotten a boost this year, averaging 5.7 adjusted receptions compared to just 4.0 last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 9th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 54.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being forecasted in this game) usually prompt decreased passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased ground volume.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game versus the Miami Dolphins defense this year: 5th-fewest in the NFL.

Chris Olave's 65.6% Adjusted Catch Rate this year reflects a remarkable decline in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 73.7% rate.

More Chris Olave Player Props

Chris Olave ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 13

Miami Dolphins vs New Orleans Saints

Chris Olave Receptions
Player Prop Week 13