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Chris Olave

Chris Olave Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Chris Olave Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-105/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the New Orleans Saints to pass on 53.7% of their downs: the 5th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the most plays run out of all the games this week at 142.5 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The model projects Chris Olave to notch 10.1 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 95th percentile among WRs.
  • Chris Olave's 28.5% Target Rate this season shows a substantial gain in his pass game usage over last season's 19.2% rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing teams have averaged 29.1 pass attempts per game versus the Falcons defense this year: 4th-fewest in football.
  • Chris Olave's 65.4% Adjusted Completion Rate this year reflects a substantial drop-off in his receiving proficiency over last year's 73.7% figure.
  • The Falcons pass defense has yielded the 10th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (62.5%) to wide receivers this year (62.5%).

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