Chris Olave Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Chris Olave

NFL · Player Props

Chris Olave

WR · New Orleans Saints

Receptions

New Orleans Saints vs Carolina Panthers · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 10, 2023 8:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Chris Olave Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+130/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 134.1 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
The Saints have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 63.4 plays per game.
The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.
This week, Chris Olave is anticipated by the predictive model to land in the 95th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 10.1 targets.
Chris Olave slots into the 92nd percentile for WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive volume) with an astounding 69.2 mark this year.

Favors Under

A running game script is indicated by the Saints being a 5.5-point favorite in this game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 2nd-fewest in football.
As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the ramifications it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Saints grades out as the 5th-worst in football this year.
Chris Olave checks in as one of the most unreliable receivers in football, catching a measly 59.7% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 24th percentile among WRs
As it relates to linebackers getting after the quarterback, Carolina's unit has been fantastic this year, grading out as the 4th-best in the NFL.

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