|
|
Chris Olave Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+123/-169).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -142 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -169.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
|
|
The New Orleans Saints will be forced to utilize backup QB Andy Dalton in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 9th-quickest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, causing opposing offenses to average 27.79 seconds per play.This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.THE BLITZ projects Chris Olave to total 8.9 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 89th percentile among WRs.Chris Olave's 69.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the league: 96th percentile for WRs.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
|
|
THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 10th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 57.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.Chris Olave has been among the worst possession receivers in football, completing just 58.4% of passes thrown his way this year, grading out in the 17th percentile among wideoutsThe New Orleans Saints have gone no-huddle on a lowly 2.3% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (least in the league). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.The New Orleans Saints have gone for it on 4th down a measly 14.3% of the time since the start of last season (2nd-least in the league), which typically means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
