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Chris Olave

Chris Olave Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

New Orleans Saints vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Chris Olave Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.2 pass attempts per game versus the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 7th-most in the league.
  • THE BLITZ projects Chris Olave to total 7.9 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 89th percentile among wideouts.
  • Chris Olave's 66.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the NFL: 94th percentile for WRs.
  • Chris Olave has been among the top WRs in the league this year, averaging an impressive 4.6 receptions per game while grading out in the 81st percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Saints are a 3.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 9th-least pass-oriented offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.1% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The New Orleans Saints have run the 8th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 55.0 plays per game.
  • Chris Olave has been among the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL, catching a mere 62.6% of passes thrown his way this year, checking in at the 21st percentile among WRs

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