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Chris Olave

Chris Olave Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New Orleans Saints

Chris Olave Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+142/-182).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -156 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +142.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New Orleans Saints will be starting backup QB Andy Dalton in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

Opposing QBs have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 6th-most in football.

THE BLITZ projects Chris Olave to earn 7.6 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 81st percentile among WRs.

Chris Olave's 69.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the league leaders: 94th percentile for WRs.

Chris Olave has been among the top WRs in the game this year, averaging an impressive 5.1 receptions per game while checking in at the 87th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 6th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 51.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

Chris Olave has been among the most hard-handed receivers in the league, catching a measly 60.3% of passes thrown his way this year, ranking in the 20th percentile among wide receivers

The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has given up the 9th-lowest Completion% in football (63.6%) vs. wide receivers this year (63.6%).

The New Orleans Saints have gone no-huddle on just 2.3% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-least in football). This slows the pace, leading to less volume and stat-padding.

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