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Chris Olave

Chris Olave Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Chris Olave Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 61.5 (-112/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 59.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 61.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A throwing game script is implied by the Saints being a -3.5-point underdog in this game.
  • The predictive model expects the Saints to run the most total plays among all teams this week with 68.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The leading projections forecast Chris Olave to notch 10.4 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile among wideouts.
  • Chris Olave's 31.2% Target Share this season signifies a significant gain in his pass attack usage over last season's 19.2% rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the 9th-least pass-heavy team in the league (59.2% context-neutralized) according to the model is the New Orleans Saints.
  • Chris Olave's 64.5% Adjusted Catch Rate this season marks a remarkable diminishment in his pass-catching skills over last season's 73.7% mark.
  • Chris Olave's pass-catching efficiency has worsened this season, accumulating just 6.06 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 10.00 rate last season.
  • Chris Olave's skills in generating extra yardage have declined this year, compiling a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 3.50 figure last year.
  • This year, the tough Buccaneers defense has surrendered a measly 61.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the 9th-smallest rate in football.

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