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Chris Olave

Chris Olave Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

New Orleans Saints vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Chris Olave Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 55.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 57.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 55.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread indicates a passing game script for the Saints, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to see 136.6 plays on offense run: the highest number on the slate this week.
  • The Saints have run the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 63.6 plays per game.
  • The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.
  • The projections expect Chris Olave to garner 10.1 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile when it comes to WRs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the New Orleans Saints to be the 7th-least pass-focused team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 58.5% pass rate.
  • Chris Olave's 36.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year illustrates a significant decrease in his pass-catching ability over last year's 54.0 rate.
  • Chris Olave's receiving reliability have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 73.7% to 62.9%.
  • Chris Olave's pass-catching effectiveness has tailed off this season, notching just 4.95 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 10.00 mark last season.
  • Chris Olave's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year shows a material regression in his effectiveness in picking up extra yardage over last year's 3.5% rate.

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