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Chris Olave

Chris Olave Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Tennessee Titans vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Chris Olave Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 73.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 69.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 73.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Saints to run the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.3 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The 5th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Saints this year (a whopping 60.1 per game on average).
  • The projections expect Chris Olave to total 9.6 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 96th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
  • Chris Olave has notched many more air yards this season (119.0 per game) than he did last season (57.0 per game).
  • Chris Olave's 72.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 45.5.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Saints to pass on 52.5% of their plays: the 4th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The weatherman calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • Chris Olave's 64.5% Adjusted Catch Rate this year signifies a remarkable decline in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 73.7% rate.
  • Chris Olave's 6.9 adjusted yards per target this season shows an impressive regression in his receiving prowess over last season's 10.0 mark.
  • Chris Olave's skills in generating extra yardage have declined this season, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 3.50 mark last season.

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