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Chris Olave Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 68.5 (-120/-108).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 61.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 68.5 @ -120.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the model to see 134.6 total plays called: the 2nd-most out of all the games this week.The 10th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Saints this year (a whopping 59.1 per game on average).The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.In this game, Chris Olave is projected by the model to secure a spot in the 97th percentile when it comes to WRs with 9.6 targets.After averaging 57.0 air yards per game last year, Chris Olave has made big progress this year, currently pacing 108.0 per game.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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This week's line implies a running game script for the Saints, who are favored by 6.5 points.Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New Orleans Saints to pass on 52.6% of their opportunities: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Jets, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 31.6 per game) this year.Chris Olave's receiving reliability have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 73.7% to 65.2%.Chris Olave's receiving efficiency has diminished this season, averaging a mere 6.78 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 10.00 rate last season.
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