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Chris Olave

Chris Olave Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Miami Dolphins vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Chris Olave Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 66.5 (-110/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 72.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 66.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A throwing game script is indicated by the Saints being a -5.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • The predictive model expects the Saints offense to be the fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 25.62 seconds per snap.
  • The predictive model expects Chris Olave to garner 9.9 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 97th percentile among WRs.
  • Chris Olave's 29.0% Target Rate this season reflects a significant improvement in his passing game usage over last season's 19.2% mark.
  • After averaging 57.0 air yards per game last year, Chris Olave has seen a big uptick this year, currently sitting at 111.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 9th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 54.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being forecasted in this game) usually prompt decreased passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased ground volume.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game versus the Miami Dolphins defense this year: 5th-fewest in the NFL.
  • Chris Olave's 65.6% Adjusted Catch Rate this year reflects a remarkable decline in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 73.7% rate.
  • Chris Olave's pass-game effectiveness has declined this season, averaging just 6.50 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 10.00 mark last season.

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