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Chris Olave

Chris Olave Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Chris Olave Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 64.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 54.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread implies a passing game script for the Saints, who are -5-point underdogs.
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Saints are forecasted by the predictive model to run 66.5 offensive plays in this contest: the 5th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • This week, Chris Olave is anticipated by the model to land in the 92nd percentile among wideouts with 8.6 targets.
  • Chris Olave has been a much bigger part of his team's passing game this season (28.5% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (19.2%).
  • Chris Olave has compiled significantly more air yards this year (106.0 per game) than he did last year (57.0 per game).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Saints to pass on 54.3% of their plays: the 8th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • Chris Olave's 65.7% Adjusted Completion Rate this season represents an impressive drop-off in his receiving prowess over last season's 73.7% figure.
  • Chris Olave's pass-catching effectiveness has tailed off this season, averaging just 6.41 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 10.00 rate last season.
  • Chris Olave's skills in generating extra yardage have diminished this year, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 3.50 mark last year.

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