Chris Olave Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Chris Olave

NFL · Player Props

Chris Olave

WR · New Orleans Saints

Receiving Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Carolina Panthers · Week 1, 2024

Updated Sep 8, 2024 11:11 PM EST

Analysis

Chris Olave Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 64.5 (-104/-131).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 65.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 64.5 @ -131.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Saints to run the 8th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Saints have run the 3rd-most plays in the league last year, averaging a monstrous 60.9 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The leading projections forecast Chris Olave to garner 8.9 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 94th percentile when it comes to WRs.
Chris Olave has been heavily involved in his team's pass game, posting a Target Share of 25.5% last year, which ranks in the 91st percentile among wide receivers.

Favors Under

With a 5-point advantage, the Saints are favored in this game, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.
Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the Panthers, averaging the fewest attempts in football (a measly 27.9 per game) last year.
As it relates to pass-blocking (and the effect it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the New Orleans Saints ranks as the 5th-worst in football last year.
The Carolina Panthers defense has given up the 2nd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 109.0) versus wideouts last year.
When it comes to linebackers rushing the passer, Carolina's unit has been great last year, projecting as the 3rd-best in the league.

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