Chris Olave Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Chris Olave

NFL · Player Props

Chris Olave

WR · New Orleans Saints

Receiving Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Carolina Panthers · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 10, 2023 8:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Chris Olave Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 66.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 68.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 66.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 134.1 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
The Saints have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 63.4 plays per game.
The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.
This week, Chris Olave is anticipated by the predictive model to land in the 95th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 10.1 targets.
Chris Olave has accumulated far more air yards this year (137.0 per game) than he did last year (114.0 per game).

Favors Under

A running game script is indicated by the Saints being a 5.5-point favorite in this game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 2nd-fewest in football.
As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the ramifications it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Saints grades out as the 5th-worst in football this year.
Chris Olave checks in as one of the most unreliable receivers in football, catching a measly 59.7% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 24th percentile among WRs
Chris Olave has been one of the bottom wide receivers in the NFL at grinding out extra yardage, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 1st percentile.

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