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Chris Olave Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 70.5 (-110/-120).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 65.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 70.5 @ -110.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.2 pass attempts per game versus the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 7th-most in the league.THE BLITZ projects Chris Olave to total 7.9 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 89th percentile among wideouts.Chris Olave has put up a whopping 110.0 air yards per game this year: 98th percentile among wide receivers.Chris Olave's 66.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the NFL: 94th percentile for WRs.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Saints are a 3.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 9th-least pass-oriented offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.1% pass rate.THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.The New Orleans Saints have run the 8th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 55.0 plays per game.Chris Olave has been among the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL, catching a mere 62.6% of passes thrown his way this year, checking in at the 21st percentile among WRs
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