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Chris Moore

Chris Moore Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 3

Washington Commanders vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Chris Moore Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+900/-3100).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Washington Commanders may take to the air less in this week's game (and call more carries) given that they be rolling with backup quarterback Marcus Mariota.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Washington Commanders have called the 3rd-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 59.9 plays per game.
  • Since the start of last season, the tough Las Vegas Raiders run defense has conceded a paltry 0.74 rushing touchdowns per game to opposing teams: the 9th-smallest rate in football.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders safeties rank as the 5th-worst collection of safeties in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread indicates a running game script for the Commanders, who are favored by 3 points.
  • The model projects the Washington Commanders to be the 6th-most run-heavy offense in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) right now with a 46.8% red zone run rate.
  • With a bottom-tier 0.0% Red Zone Target Share (0th percentile) since the start of last season, Chris Moore has been among the WRs with the highest volume near the end zone in the league.
  • Chris Moore has compiled a meager 5.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: just 12th percentile among WRs.
  • Chris Moore's 2.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive volume) ranks among the worst in football: 16th percentile for wide receivers.

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