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Chris Moore

Chris Moore Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10

Washington Commanders vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Chris Moore Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+560/-680).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -610 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -680.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Commanders may take to the air less in this game (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup QB Marcus Mariota.
  • An extreme passing game script is implied by the Commanders being a heavy -8-point underdog in this week's game.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Commanders offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 27.57 seconds per snap.
  • While Chris Moore has been responsible for 4.8% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a much bigger part of Washington's passing offense near the goal line in this week's game at 11.0%.
  • The Lions defense has been gouged for the 2nd-most receiving TDs in the NFL to WRs: 1.50 per game this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Commanders to be the 3rd-most run-centric team in the league near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 48.6% red zone run rate.
  • Chris Moore checks in as one of the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL, hauling in a mere 45.9% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 13th percentile among WRs
  • This year, the fierce Lions defense has conceded a meager 66.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 6th-lowest rate in football.

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