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Chris Moore

Chris Moore Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Washington Commanders vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Chris Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-185/+130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -170 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Commanders to call the 5th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 68.4 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (2-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while rush volume may slide.
  • The Seahawks defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing QBs to attempt the most passes in the NFL (42.0 per game) this year.
  • Chris Moore has been a much bigger part of his offense's passing game this year (9.1% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (0.0%).
  • The Seahawks cornerbacks rank as the 3rd-worst collection of CBs in the league this year in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Washington Commanders to be the 9th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 56.7% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The Commanders have run the 8th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 53.1 plays per game.
  • With a mere 1.1 adjusted receptions per game (20th percentile) this year, Chris Moore rates among the worst WRs in the NFL in football.
  • With a feeble 46.2% Adjusted Completion Rate (14th percentile) this year, Chris Moore places as one of the worst possession receivers in football when it comes to wide receivers.
  • This year, the tough Seattle Seahawks defense has allowed a paltry 61.4% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the 8th-lowest rate in football.

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