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Chris Moore

Chris Moore Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Kansas City Chiefs vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Chris Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-158/+142).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -142 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -158.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Washington Commanders will be forced to utilize backup QB Marcus Mariota in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • At a -10.5-point disadvantage, the Commanders are giant underdogs in this week's contest, implying much more of a reliance on throwing than their typical approach.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 134.1 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • Chris Moore has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (66.1% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (5.4%).
  • The Chiefs pass defense has conceded the highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (67.9%) vs. wide receivers this year (67.9%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Washington Commanders to pass on 59.8% of their chances: the 8th-greatest rate among all teams this week.
  • The Washington Commanders have run the fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 53.7 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Kansas City Chiefs, totaling the fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 29.1 per game) this year.
  • Chris Moore profiles as one of the bottom WRs in the game this year, averaging a lowly 1.1 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 16th percentile among wide receivers.
  • With a poor 46.3% Adjusted Catch Rate (13th percentile) this year, Chris Moore stands as one of the worst possession receivers in football when it comes to wideouts.

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