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Chris Moore

Chris Moore Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Chris Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Commanders may throw the ball less in this week's contest (and hand the ball off more) given that they be forced to start backup QB Josh Johnson.
  • A passing game script is implied by the Commanders being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's game.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the projection model to see 132.1 total plays run: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 36.5 pass attempts per game versus the Cowboys defense this year: 9th-most in football.
  • Chris Moore has been a much bigger part of his team's passing game this season (6.5% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (0.0%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Washington Commanders to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 57.3% pass rate.
  • The 7th-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Washington Commanders this year (just 54.5 per game on average).
  • Chris Moore checks in as one of the weakest WRs in the league this year, averaging just 1.1 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 14th percentile among WRs.
  • Chris Moore grades out as one of the least sure-handed receivers in football, hauling in a measly 45.4% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 9th percentile among WRs

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