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Chris Moore

Chris Moore Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Washington Commanders vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Chris Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+260/-400).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -400 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +260.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Commanders may throw the ball less this week (and call more rushes) since they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Marcus Mariota.
  • The Commanders are a 6-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the highest number of plays run among all games this week at 135.3 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • Chris Moore has been a more important option in his offense's passing game this year (8.2% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (0.0%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Commanders to be the 5th-least pass-focused offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 56.9% pass rate.
  • The Washington Commanders have run the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 53.9 plays per game.
  • Chris Moore rates as one of the bottom wide receivers in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 1.2 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 16th percentile among WRs.
  • With a poor 46.1% Adjusted Completion Rate (13th percentile) this year, Chris Moore places among the most unreliable receivers in football when it comes to wideouts.
  • This year, the fierce Broncos defense has yielded a measly 62.3% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the 9th-best rate in the NFL.

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