Chris Moore Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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NFL · Player Props

Chris Moore

WR · Houston Texans

Receptions

Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 5:46 PM EST

Analysis

Chris Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+126/-168).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -168.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Houston Texans will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.7% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
The Texans are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans as the 10th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 61.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Chris Moore to earn 6.6 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 77th percentile among WRs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans as the 8th-worst paced defense in football (adjusted for context) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 28.55 seconds per snap.
The Houston Texans offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all air attack metrics across the board.
The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has given up the 6th-lowest Completion% in football (63.9%) to wideouts this year (63.9%).
The Houston Texans offensive line has allowed their QB just 2.33 seconds before getting pressured (worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
The Jacksonville Jaguars pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-quickest in the NFL since the start of last season.