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Chris Moore

Chris Moore Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Washington Commanders vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Chris Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (+125/-167).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ +109 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ +125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Commanders to run the most offensive plays on the slate this week with 68.3 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect Chris Moore to be much more involved in his team's passing offense in this contest (11.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (6.4% in games he has played).
  • The Bears pass defense has exhibited poor efficiency against WRs since the start of last season, surrendering 8.77 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the most in the league.
  • The Chicago Bears pass defense has been particularly weak when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 3.80 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the most in the league.
  • The Chicago Bears linebackers rank as the 3rd-worst LB corps in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread implies a rushing game script for the Commanders, who are favored by 5.5 points.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Washington Commanders to pass on 54.3% of their chances: the lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • The Washington Commanders have run the fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 53.2 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.0 pass attempts per game against the Bears defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.
  • As it relates to pass-blocking (and the significance it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Commanders grades out as the worst in the league this year.

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