Chris Moore Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Chris Moore

NFL · Player Props

Chris Moore

WR · Tennessee Titans

Receiving Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Tennessee Titans · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 12, 2023 6:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Chris Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Titans offensive strategy to skew 1.9% more towards the passing attack than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Tim Kelly now calling the plays.
Opposing offenses have averaged 40.0 pass attempts per game against the Buccaneers defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
Chris Moore's 12.7 adjusted yards per target this year marks a remarkable growth in his receiving prowess over last year's 7.4 rate.
Chris Moore rates as one of the leading wide receivers in the league at grinding out extra yardage, averaging an excellent 5.31 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 83rd percentile.
This year, the feeble Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has yielded a monstrous 197.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing wide receivers: the most in the NFL.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Titans to pass on 53.4% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Titans are expected by the model to run only 62.8 offensive plays in this contest: the 9th-lowest number among all teams this week.
The Tennessee Titans have run the 6th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a measly 54.5 plays per game.
Chris Moore's 5.1% Target% this year indicates a noteworthy drop-off in his pass attack usage over last year's 14.3% rate.
Chris Moore has totaled significantly fewer air yards this year (31.0 per game) than he did last year (43.0 per game).

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