Chris Moore Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Chris Moore

NFL · Player Props

Chris Moore

WR · Houston Texans

Receiving TD

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 7:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Chris Moore Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+317/-581).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -468 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -581.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing QBs have averaged 39.7 pass attempts per game versus the Tennessee Titans defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.
Chris Moore has accumulated many more air yards this season (22.0 per game) than he did last season (8.0 per game).
The Tennessee Titans pass defense has conceded the 2nd-highest Completion% in the league (73.5%) vs. wide receivers this year (73.5%).
The Tennessee Titans defense has yielded the 2nd-most passing touchdowns in the league to wideouts: 1.50 per game this year.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Texans to run the 2nd-least total plays on the slate this week with 61.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Houston Texans have called the 8th-least plays in the league this year, averaging just 56.7 plays per game.
The Tennessee Titans defensive tackles profile as the 4th-best collection of DTs in football this year in regard to rushing the passer.
The Houston Texans offensive line has afforded their quarterback just 2.33 seconds before getting pressured (worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all pass game statistics across the board.
The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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