Chris Godwin Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Chris Godwin

NFL · Player Props

Chris Godwin

WR · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Touchdowns

Seattle Seahawks vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 5, 2025

Updated Oct 5, 2025 7:57 PM EST

Analysis

Chris Godwin Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+230/-295).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -330 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -295.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A passing game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's game.
The model projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 8th-most pass-centric team in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 58.2% red zone pass rate.
The Buccaneers offense has played at the 9th-quickest pace in football (in a neutral context) this year, averaging 27.75 seconds per play.
Opposing teams have averaged 40.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Seahawks defense this year: 5th-most in football.
Chris Godwin Jr. has been an integral part of his team's pass game near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 22.9% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 85th percentile among wide receivers.

Favors Under

Chris Godwin Jr.'s 32.2% Adjusted Catch% this year reflects a noteable regression in his receiving ability over last year's 83.2% rate.
The Seattle Seahawks defense has yielded the 3rd-fewest TDs through the air in the NFL to wide receivers: 0.50 per game this year.

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