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Chris Godwin

Chris Godwin Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 18

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Chris Godwin Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+310/-360).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -410 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -360.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With an elite 24.1% Red Zone Target Rate (93rd percentile) this year, Chris Godwin Jr. ranks among the WRs with the most usage near the goal line in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.
  • The predictive model expects the Buccaneers to run the 7th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.9 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Panthers, averaging the 7th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 31.7 per game) this year.
  • Chris Godwin Jr.'s 42.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 56.2.
  • Chris Godwin Jr.'s possession skills have declined this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 83.2% to 67.3%.

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