reorder

Chris Godwin Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

Miami Dolphins vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Chris Godwin Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+275/-375).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -330 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -375.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Chris Godwin Jr. has been a big part of his team's offense near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 19.4% this year, which places him in the 88th percentile among wideouts.

This year, the feeble Miami Dolphins defense has yielded a massive 75.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the biggest rate in the league.

The Dolphins defense has yielded the 7th-most TDs through the air in football to WRs: 1.00 per game this year.

As it relates to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Miami's unit has been very good this year, projecting as the 6th-best in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread suggests a running game script for the Buccaneers, who are favored by 5.5 points.

The predictive model expects the Buccaneers as the 8th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 54.5% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The model projects the Buccaneers to call the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.0 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Dolphins, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in football (just 31.5 per game) this year.

Chris Godwin Jr.'s 42.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 56.2.

More Chris Godwin Player Props

Chris Godwin TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 17

Miami Dolphins vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Chris Godwin Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17