Chris Godwin Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Chris Godwin

NFL · Player Props

Chris Godwin

WR · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Touchdowns

Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 16, 2025

Updated Dec 21, 2025 8:07 PM EST

Analysis

Chris Godwin Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+290/-385).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -385 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -385.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the moment, the 10th-most pass-centric team in the NFL near the goal line (59.5% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Chris Godwin Jr. has been an integral part of his team's passing attack near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 23.8% this year, which ranks in the 93rd percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
After averaging 48.0 air yards per game last year, Chris Godwin Jr. has been rising this year, now sitting at 53.0 per game.

Favors Under

With a 3-point advantage, the Buccaneers are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their typical approach.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to have only 126.4 total plays called: the 3rd-lowest number among all games this week.
Chris Godwin Jr.'s 43.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit worse this season than it was last season at 56.2.
Chris Godwin Jr.'s 59.8% Adjusted Catch% this year marks a substantial decline in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 83.2% rate.
The Panthers pass defense has allowed the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (62.3%) to wideouts this year (62.3%).

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