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Chris Godwin

Chris Godwin Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Chris Godwin Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+280/-385).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -335 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -385.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) right now with a 59.4% red zone pass rate.
  • Chris Godwin Jr. ranks in the 79th percentile among wide receivers since the start of last season with an impressive 23.2% of his team's air yards accumulated.
  • Chris Godwin Jr. ranks in the 94th percentile among wide receivers as it relates to catching TDs since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 0.50 per game.
  • The Arizona Cardinals safeties grade out as the 7th-best group of safeties in the league this year when it comes to run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 4-point advantage, the Buccaneers are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their standard approach.
  • At the present time, the 8th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
  • Chris Godwin Jr.'s 43.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 56.2.
  • Chris Godwin Jr.'s sure-handedness have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 83.2% to 46.4%.
  • Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 10th-lowest rate in the league versus the Arizona Cardinals defense this year (68.7% Adjusted Completion%).

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