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Chris Godwin

Chris Godwin Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Chris Godwin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect this game to see the 4th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 130.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 7th-most plays in football have been run by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers this year (a staggering 59.8 per game on average).
  • In this game, Chris Godwin Jr. is expected by the model to slot into the 82nd percentile among wideouts with 7.5 targets.
  • With an elite 25.3% Target Rate (94th percentile) since the start of last season, Chris Godwin Jr. places as one of the wideouts with the most usage in the league.
  • With an outstanding 5.6 adjusted catches per game (97th percentile) since the start of last season, Chris Godwin Jr. ranks as one of the leading wide receivers in the game in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.
  • Chris Godwin Jr.'s 43.5% Adjusted Catch Rate this season illustrates a significant decline in his receiving skills over last season's 83.2% rate.
  • This year, the daunting San Francisco 49ers defense has yielded a paltry 62.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the 10th-lowest rate in the NFL.
  • When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, San Francisco's LB corps has been excellent this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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