My Account Log Out
 
 
Chris Godwin

Chris Godwin Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Chris Godwin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -155 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is suggested by the Buccaneers being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • The Buccaneers have run the 7th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 59.2 plays per game.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line grades out as the 2nd-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all passing game stats across the board.
  • With a remarkable 7.1 adjusted receptions per game (99th percentile) last year, Chris Godwin Jr. places among the leading WRs in the league in the league.
  • Chris Godwin Jr. grades out as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL, completing an outstanding 83.2% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, grading out in the 99th percentile among wide receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Buccaneers offense to tilt 1.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Josh Grizzard now calling the plays.
  • The predictive model expects the Buccaneers to call the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.1 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to pass too much against the Eagles, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 31.2 per game) since the start of last season.
  • Our trusted projections expect Chris Godwin Jr. to be a much smaller part of his offense's pass game in this game (18.0% projected Target Share) than he has been last year (26.9% in games he has played).
  • Since the start of last season, the fierce Eagles defense has allowed a paltry 60.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 2nd-lowest rate in football.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™