Chris Godwin Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

NFL · Player Props

Chris Godwin

WR · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Receiving Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 4, 2025

Updated Sep 28, 2025 4:17 PM EST

Analysis

Chris Godwin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 37.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A passing game script is suggested by the Buccaneers being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
The Buccaneers have run the 7th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 59.2 plays per game.
Chris Godwin Jr. has garnered a whopping 22.7% of his offense's air yards last year: 75th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line grades out as the 2nd-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all passing game stats across the board.
Chris Godwin Jr. grades out as one of the top WRs in the league last year, averaging a stellar 83.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 99th percentile.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Buccaneers offense to tilt 1.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Josh Grizzard now calling the plays.
The predictive model expects the Buccaneers to call the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.1 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to pass too much against the Eagles, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 31.2 per game) since the start of last season.
Our trusted projections expect Chris Godwin Jr. to be a much smaller part of his offense's pass game in this game (18.0% projected Target Share) than he has been last year (26.9% in games he has played).
Since the start of last season, the fierce Eagles defense has allowed a paltry 60.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 2nd-lowest rate in football.