Chris Godwin Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Chris Godwin

NFL · Player Props

Chris Godwin

WR · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Receiving Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 15, 2025

Updated Dec 12, 2025 1:12 AM EST

Analysis

Chris Godwin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 43.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 42.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 43.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
In this week's contest, Chris Godwin Jr. is anticipated by the predictive model to rank in the 75th percentile among wideouts with 6.3 targets.
After averaging 48.0 air yards per game last season, Chris Godwin Jr. has made big progress this season, currently pacing 56.0 per game.
As it relates to pass protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL this year.
The Atlanta Falcons cornerbacks rank as the 4th-worst CB corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

This game's line implies a rushing game script for the Buccaneers, who are favored by 4.5 points.
Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to pass on 53.4% of their plays: the 8th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
At the present time, the 7th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Buccaneers.
Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Atlanta Falcons, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 30.9 per game) this year.
Chris Godwin Jr.'s 19.7% Target Rate this year conveys an impressive drop-off in his air attack volume over last year's 26.9% rate.

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