My Account Log Out
 
 
Chris Godwin

Chris Godwin Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Chris Godwin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-110/-114).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.3 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • Chris Godwin Jr. has compiled quite a few more air yards this season (62.0 per game) than he did last season (48.0 per game).
  • The Tampa Bay O-line ranks as the 10th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
  • The Saints safeties profile as the 7th-worst group of safeties in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Buccaneers being a huge 7.5-point favorite this week.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to pass on 53.1% of their plays: the 5th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.4 pass attempts per game against the New Orleans Saints defense this year: fewest in football.
  • Chris Godwin Jr. has been a less important option in his team's passing game this year (18.3% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (26.9%).
  • Chris Godwin Jr.'s 36.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year represents a meaningful regression in his receiving ability over last year's 83.0 figure.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™