Chris Godwin Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

NFL · Player Props

Chris Godwin

WR · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Receiving Yards

Los Angeles Rams vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 12, 2025

Updated Nov 24, 2025 1:22 AM EST

Analysis

Chris Godwin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-111/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 30.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Buccaneers are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to pass on 62.2% of their chances: the 7th-highest rate on the slate this week.
The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Los Angeles Rams defense has been something of pass funnel this year, causing opposing teams to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (37.0 per game) this year.
Chris Godwin Jr. ranks in the 81st percentile when it comes to wide receivers since the start of last season with a monstrous 24.3% of his offense's air yards accumulated.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are predicted by the projections to call only 64.0 total plays in this contest: the 7th-lowest number on the slate this week.
While Chris Godwin Jr. has accounted for 25.3% of his offense's targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the model projects him to be much less involved in Tampa Bay's pass game in this week's contest at 15.0%.
Chris Godwin Jr.'s 43.6% Adjusted Catch Rate this season shows an impressive drop-off in his receiving prowess over last season's 83.2% rate.
Chris Godwin Jr.'s pass-game effectiveness has diminished this season, totaling just 3.87 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 9.67 rate last season.
As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, Los Angeles's unit has been fantastic this year, ranking as the 6th-best in football.