Chris Godwin Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Chris Godwin

NFL · Player Props

Chris Godwin

WR · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Receiving Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 27, 2022 11:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Chris Godwin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 73.5 (-130/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 68.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 128.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 61.7 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing QBs have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 6th-most in football.

Favors Under

Chris Godwin has run fewer routes this season (74.5% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (92.4%).
Chris Godwin has accrued significantly fewer air yards this season (59.0 per game) than he did last season (69.0 per game).
Chris Godwin has accrued significantly fewer receiving yards per game (63.0) this year than he did last year (87.0).
Chris Godwin's receiving reliability have diminished this year, with his Completion% falling off from 79.5% to 68.7%.
Chris Godwin's receiving effectiveness has declined this year, accumulating a measly 7.48 yards-per-target vs a 9.87 figure last year.

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