Chris Godwin Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Chris Godwin

NFL · Player Props

Chris Godwin

WR · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Receiving TD

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 13, 2022 5:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Chris Godwin Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+162/-235).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +187 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +162.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run on the slate this week at 137.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 63.1 plays per game.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Chris Godwin to be much more involved in his offense's pass game near the end zone this week (20.7% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (10.4% in games he has played).
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line grades out as the 4th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all passing offense stats across the board.

Favors Under

Opposing QBs have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 10th-least in football.
Chris Godwin has put up significantly fewer air yards this year (60.0 per game) than he did last year (69.0 per game).
Chris Godwin's ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 79.5% to 68.3%.
Chris Godwin grades out in the 1st percentile among wide receivers when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging just 0.00 per game.
The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has yielded the 7th-lowest Completion% in football (63.1%) to wide receivers this year (63.1%).

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