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Chris Godwin

Chris Godwin Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Seattle Seahawks

Chris Godwin Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+162/-235).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +187 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +162.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run on the slate this week at 137.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 63.1 plays per game.

The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects Chris Godwin to be much more involved in his offense's pass game near the end zone this week (20.7% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (10.4% in games he has played).

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line grades out as the 4th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all passing offense stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing QBs have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 10th-least in football.

Chris Godwin has put up significantly fewer air yards this year (60.0 per game) than he did last year (69.0 per game).

Chris Godwin's ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 79.5% to 68.3%.

Chris Godwin grades out in the 1st percentile among wide receivers when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging just 0.00 per game.

The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has yielded the 7th-lowest Completion% in football (63.1%) to wide receivers this year (63.1%).

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