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Chigoziem Okonkwo

Chigoziem Okonkwo Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Las Vegas Raiders vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Chigoziem Okonkwo Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+590/-730).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -720 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -730.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Titans are underdogs in this week's game, suggesting more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Tennessee Titans to be the 8th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 58.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The model projects Chig Okonkwo to be a more important option in his team's pass game near the end zone in this week's game (11.0% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).
  • Chig Okonkwo's 29.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive volume) ranks among the best in the league: 77th percentile for TEs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Titans to call the 9th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • Chig Okonkwo's sure-handedness have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 76.1% to 69.9%.
  • The receiving TD field reads "0" on the back of Chig Okonkwo's trading card this year.
  • The Raiders defense has yielded the 3rd-fewest TDs through the air in football to tight ends: 0.20 per game this year.
  • This year, the shaky Raiders run defense has given up a massive 1.60 TDs on the ground per game to opposing squads: the 2nd-biggest rate in the league.

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