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Chigoziem Okonkwo

Chigoziem Okonkwo Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 4

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans

Chigoziem Okonkwo Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+540/-1000).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -940 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1000.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Titans, who are huge -7.5-point underdogs.

The model projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 59.9% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see 129.3 offensive plays run: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.

The leading projections forecast Chig Okonkwo to be a more integral piece of his team's pass game near the goal line this week (14.4% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the significance it has on all pass attack stats), the offensive line of the Titans ranks as the 9th-worst in the league since the start of last season.

Chig Okonkwo's 71.2% Adjusted Completion% this season signifies an impressive diminishment in his pass-catching skills over last season's 76.1% rate.

With an atrocious rate of only 0.00 per game through the air (1st percentile), Chig Okonkwo stands among the worst receiving TD-scorers in the league when it comes to TEs this year.

Since the start of last season, the formidable Texans defense has conceded a meager 64.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the smallest rate in the NFL.

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