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Chigoziem Okonkwo

Chigoziem Okonkwo Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Tennessee Titans vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Chigoziem Okonkwo Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+660/-1250).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1050 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1250.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Titans are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
  • At the moment, the 7th-most pass-oriented offense in the league in the red zone (59.9% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Titans.
  • Chig Okonkwo has earned a colossal 9.1% of his offense's air yards this year: 77th percentile among TEs.
  • Chig Okonkwo's 26.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) puts him in the company of the best in football: 76th percentile for tight ends.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has been gouged for the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (87%) vs. tight ends this year (87.0%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Titans to call the 8th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.4 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The Tennessee Titans have run the 8th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 54.9 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Kansas City Chiefs, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 31.7 per game) this year.
  • Chig Okonkwo ranks in the 1st percentile among tight ends as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging a lowly 0.00 per game.
  • The Chiefs defense has surrendered the 3rd-fewest receiving TDs in football to TEs: 0.21 per game this year.

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