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Chigoziem Okonkwo

Chigoziem Okonkwo Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11

Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Chigoziem Okonkwo Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+830/-1150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1100 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Titans are a giant 7-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Titans offense to be the 8th-quickest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 27.55 seconds per play.
  • While Chig Okonkwo has earned 4.0% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a more integral piece of Tennessee's offense near the end zone this week at 9.6%.
  • Chig Okonkwo places in the 77th percentile when it comes to tight end WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) with a massive 26.7 mark this year.
  • The Houston Texans linebackers grade out as the 6th-best LB corps in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the 7th-least pass-centric team in the NFL (59.0% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Titans.
  • Chig Okonkwo ranks in the 1st percentile among tight ends when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging just 0.00 per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the lowest level in the NFL versus the Houston Texans defense this year (62.9% Adjusted Completion%).
  • This year, the strong Houston Texans defense has conceded a mere 0.33 passing TDs per game to opposing tight ends: the 8th-smallest rate in the league.

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