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Chigoziem Okonkwo

Chigoziem Okonkwo Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Tennessee Titans vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Chigoziem Okonkwo Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+126/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -154 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -160.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme throwing game script is indicated by the Titans being a giant -9.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • Chig Okonkwo has run a route on 65.4% of his team's passing plays this year, putting him in the 77th percentile among TEs.
  • As it relates to protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Tennessee Titans profiles as the 10th-best in the NFL this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Tennessee Titans to be the 10th-least pass-focused offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 59.3% pass rate.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are expected by the predictive model to call only 62.6 plays on offense in this game: the 8th-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • Chig Okonkwo's sure-handedness have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 76.1% to 72.0%.
  • The Chargers pass defense has given up the 9th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (71.5%) versus tight ends this year (71.5%).
  • When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's group of safeties has been terrific this year, projecting as the 4th-best in football.

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