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Chigoziem Okonkwo

Chigoziem Okonkwo Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Chigoziem Okonkwo Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Titans, who are huge -7.5-point underdogs.
  • The model projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 59.9% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see 129.3 offensive plays run: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.
  • Our trusted projections expect Chig Okonkwo to accrue 6.0 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 90th percentile when it comes to TEs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the significance it has on all pass attack stats), the offensive line of the Titans ranks as the 9th-worst in the league since the start of last season.
  • Chig Okonkwo's 71.2% Adjusted Completion% this season signifies an impressive diminishment in his pass-catching skills over last season's 76.1% rate.
  • The Texans pass defense has yielded the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (69.8%) versus tight ends since the start of last season (69.8%).

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