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Chigoziem Okonkwo

Chigoziem Okonkwo Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts

Chigoziem Okonkwo Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-101/-126).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -121 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -126.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is implied by the Titans being a -6-point underdog this week.

In this week's game, Chig Okonkwo is anticipated by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 87th percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.5 targets.

Chig Okonkwo has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack, posting a Target Share of 14.3% since the start of last season, which places him in the 78th percentile when it comes to TEs.

Chig Okonkwo rates as one of the leading pass-catching tight ends since the start of last season, averaging an exceptional 3.2 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 78th percentile.

The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has yielded the highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (82.1%) to TEs since the start of last season (82.1%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 8th-least pass-centric team in the league (context-neutralized) right now with a 58.4% pass rate.

Our trusted projections expect the Titans to run the 5th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.7 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The Titans O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative influence on all pass game metrics across the board.

Chig Okonkwo's possession skills have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 76.1% to 67.0%.

The Indianapolis Colts safeties project as the 3rd-best safety corps in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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